Articles | Open Access | https://doi.org/10.55640/

An Econometric Analysis of The Key Drivers of Trade Flows Between Emerging Economies Worldwide and Emerging African Markets

Abstract

Trade between emerging economies and African markets has become an important subject in international economic analysis because of its potential to diversify export destinations, attract foreign direct investment (FDI), strengthen productive capacity, and reshape development partnerships. This paper develops an econometric framework for examining the determinants of trade flows between emerging economies worldwide and emerging African markets. Drawing on the supplied literature, it identifies economic scale, geographical distance, trade costs, foreign investment, institutional conditions, and development cooperation as relevant explanatory factors. The gravity model of international trade provides the principal analytical foundation, while the literature on China–Africa economic relations and emerging-market linkages informs the interpretation of trade patterns. The proposed methodology uses a bilateral panel-data framework and outlines procedures for variable construction, estimation, hypothesis testing, and robustness assessment. Since no original bilateral trade dataset or estimation output is supplied, the findings are presented as literature-grounded analytical propositions rather than statistically verified empirical results. The paper argues that market size alone is insufficient to explain trade intensity and that infrastructure, trade facilitation, investment linkages, and the composition of exports may condition the relationship between emerging economies and African markets. It concludes that effective trade integration requires policies that expand market access while strengthening African productive capabilities and reducing structural dependence on a narrow range of commodities.

Keywords

Emerging Economies, African Markets, International Trade

References

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Ahmad Rizky Pratama, & Siti Nur Aisyah. (2026). An Econometric Analysis of The Key Drivers of Trade Flows Between Emerging Economies Worldwide and Emerging African Markets. International Interdisciplinary Business Economics Advancement Journal, 7(11), 1-12. https://doi.org/10.55640/